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WINNELLIE PARK

R1 7:04 PM R2 7:22 PM R3 7:40 PM R4 8:04 PM R5 8:23 PM

Race 1

7:04 PM
312m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Darwin Greyhound Association ›
🏁 Result
1st BEAR THE BRUNT ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SO NAIVE
3rd DIRTY DANCING 💡 Saver
4th LITTLE RILEY
✅ Place bet — won outright — BEAR THE BRUNT finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — DIRTY DANCING ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
BEAR THE BRUNT P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
DIRTY DANCING P $2.25
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. BEAR THE BRUNT FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.09 $1.02 $1.59
7. DIRTY DANCING 7 $11.00 $2.25 $9.81
2. SO NAIVE 2 $12.00 $2.30 $9.86
5. COBBER'S CHANCE 5 $21.00 $3.50 $14.65
8. RESILIENT 8 $18.00 $3.10 $17.53
4. LITTLE RILEY 4 $34.00 $4.20 $22.60
Favourite record at WINNELLIE PARK ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.09) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 78% 91% 45*
1.50–1.99 46% 88% 94
2.00–2.49 41% 82% 78
2.50–3.49 28% 68% 60

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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