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NORTHAM

R1 3:04 PM R2 3:27 PM R3 3:42 PM R4 4:02 PM R5 4:17 PM R6 4:42 PM R7 5:02 PM R8 5:25 PM R9 5:40 PM R10 5:56 PM R11 6:13 PM R12 6:32 PM

Race 4

4:02 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st PINGELLY PRINCE 📍 Place Pick
2nd WIZARD'S NERO
3rd ALL GRUNT 💡 Saver
4th WARNE MAGIC
✅ Place bet — won outright — PINGELLY PRINCE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ALL GRUNT ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
PINGELLY PRINCE W $2.20·P $1.18
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
ALL GRUNT P $1.24
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. PINGELLY PRINCE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.20 $1.18 $3.54
2. ALL GRUNT 2 $2.75 $1.24 $3.99
8. WIZARD'S NERO 8 $8.00 $1.90 $8.20
7. SHINBONER SMOKEY 7 $9.00 $2.00 $8.24
4. SHINBONER FIESTY 4 $15.00 $2.70 $14.72
3. ASTON ZAGREB 3 $18.00 $3.00 $15.29
9. SUMMERTIME MAX 9 $31.00 $3.90 $19.45
6. WARNE MAGIC 6 $31.00 $3.90 $25.93
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 88% 32*
2.00–2.49 this race 31% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 45% 69% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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