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THE GARDENS

R1 7:05 PM R2 7:24 PM R3 7:42 PM R4 8:00 PM R5 8:20 PM R6 8:38 PM R7 8:58 PM R8 9:22 PM R9 9:40 PM R10 10:07 PM R11 10:26 PM R12 10:43 PM

Race 7

8:58 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SKETCHY GET IN
2nd SEA SURGE
3rd KEY AURORA
4th PHYSICALITY 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — PHYSICALITY didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
PHYSICALITY P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. PHYSICALITY FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.50 $1.26 $3.77
8. COCO BELLA 8 $3.70 $1.34 $5.17
1. KEY AURORA 1 $4.60 $1.40 $5.77
6. HOW HIGH SPIKE 6 $6.50 $1.90 $6.49
2. MISS GRAHAM 2 $8.00 $2.10 $10.86
7. SKETCHY GET IN 7 $21.00 $3.70 $18.45
9. MIRACLE JACK 9 $34.00 $4.80 $24.80
4. SEA SURGE 4 $81.00 $6.00 $36.30
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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