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THE GARDENS

R1 7:05 PM R2 7:24 PM R3 7:42 PM R4 8:00 PM R5 8:20 PM R6 8:38 PM R7 8:58 PM R8 9:22 PM R9 9:40 PM R10 10:07 PM R11 10:26 PM R12 10:43 PM

Race 5

8:20 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LATE IN ARRIVAL
2nd REBORN DESTINY
3rd JET FUEL
4th PATIENT VICKY
❌ Unplaced — MORE RAIN didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
MORE RAIN P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. MORE RAIN FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.70 $1.28 $4.59
1. REBORN DESTINY 1 $3.30 $1.30 $4.76
6. ZIPPING DALY 6 $3.70 $1.32 $5.85
3. JET FUEL 3 $6.50 $1.90 $8.50
4. PATIENT VICKY 4 $11.00 $2.45 $8.60
2. LATE IN ARRIVAL 2 $12.00 $2.60 $10.64
7. RUBY TANUKI 7 $21.00 $3.80 $18.95
5. KEY JASPER 5 $101.00 $7.00 $48.76
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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