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THE GARDENS

R1 6:57 PM R2 7:20 PM R3 7:38 PM R4 7:57 PM R5 8:23 PM R6 8:38 PM R7 8:57 PM R8 9:15 PM R9 9:33 PM R10 9:58 PM R11 10:34 PM R12 10:49 PM

Race 1

6:57 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SHIPLEY'S GIRL
2nd CERULEAN MOON
3rd DOLLAR ROLEX 💡 Saver
4th MISS ELPHABA 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — MISS ELPHABA didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — DOLLAR ROLEX ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
MISS ELPHABA W $2.10·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
DOLLAR ROLEX P $1.38
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. MISS ELPHABA FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.10 $1.20 $3.54
5. DOLLAR ROLEX 5 $4.40 $1.38 $4.96
2. BLAZING BISCUIT 2 $9.00 $2.10 $7.75
7. RUNAWAY SAM 7 $7.50 $2.00 $8.65
4. SHIPLEY'S GIRL 4 $13.00 $2.60 $13.42
1. VERGLAS 1 $16.00 $3.20 $14.63
6. SUPER SASSY 6 $14.00 $2.90 $15.53
8. CERULEAN MOON 8 $18.00 $3.30 $15.54
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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