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RICHMOND

R1 7:02 PM R2 7:25 PM R3 7:45 PM R4 8:05 PM R5 8:25 PM R6 8:49 PM R7 9:14 PM R8 9:34 PM R9 9:57 PM R10 10:17 PM R11 10:33 PM R12 10:53 PM

Race 4

8:05 PM
320m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st TOMMY'S HITMAN
2nd AUSSIE LANTERN
3rd NUGGET NED
4th ALMOST
❌ Unplaced — QUEEN CARAMEL didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
8
QUEEN CARAMEL P $1.75
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
8
QUEEN CARAMEL W $3.30
Form view · saver 11.0% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 50% (4 starts) · Recent form: 7311
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. QUEEN CARAMEL FAV TOP RATED 8 $3.30 $1.75 $3.74
1. NUGGET NED 1 $3.70 $1.90 $5.26
4. TOMMY'S HITMAN 4 $5.00 $2.30 $6.28
7. AUSSIE LANTERN 7 $4.80 $2.25 $7.49
3. TERESA'S ANGEL 3 $9.50 $3.60 $11.65
5. LITTLE ESMERALDA 5 $17.00 $5.00 $11.97
2. ALMOST 2 $12.00 $4.00 $12.50
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 85% 93
1.50–1.99 50% 78% 223
2.00–2.49 39% 76% 208
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 71% 217
3.50–4.99 33% 58% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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