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THE GARDENS

R1 7:04 PM R2 7:21 PM R3 7:42 PM R4 8:07 PM R5 8:29 PM R6 8:44 PM R7 9:02 PM R8 9:23 PM R9 9:38 PM R10 9:53 PM R11 10:08 PM R12 10:34 PM

Race 3

7:42 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st TOMMY TSUNAMI
2nd KILCOY CASTLE 📍 Place Pick
3rd SMART COMET
4th POCKET POINT
✅ Place bet landed — KILCOY CASTLE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
KILCOY CASTLE P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. SMART COMET TOP RATED 1 $2.90 $1.40 $3.44
4. KILCOY CASTLE FAV 4 $2.75 $1.40 $4.17
8. TOMMY TSUNAMI 8 $3.20 $1.60 $4.39
6. POCKET POINT 6 $6.50 $2.60 $6.41
7. SPEEDY HOUDINI 7 $51.00 $11.00 $31.28
2. SMART PANAMA 2 $61.00 $12.00 $32.42
3. ZIPPING SEVERUS 3 $51.00 $11.00 $43.19
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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