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THE GARDENS

R1 7:19 PM R2 7:38 PM R3 8:01 PM R4 8:19 PM R5 8:39 PM R6 8:56 PM R7 9:17 PM R8 9:37 PM R9 10:01 PM R10 10:18 PM R11 10:35 PM R12 10:59 PM

Race 5

8:39 PM
715m ยท 7 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st MAGPIE HECTOR โญ Best Bet
2nd POWER SQUEEZE
3rd MEPUNGA BREEZE
4th SHE'S PEAKIN'
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” MAGPIE HECTOR finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
MAGPIE HECTOR P $1.07
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
1
LATE NIGHT NEWS P $2.10
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. MAGPIE HECTOR FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.24 $1.07 $1.80
1. LATE NIGHT NEWS 1 $8.00 $2.10 $7.83
2. POWER SQUEEZE 2 $8.50 $2.20 $8.09
7. SHE'S PEAKIN' 7 $18.00 $3.70 $13.35
3. MEPUNGA BREEZE 3 $21.00 $3.90 $18.35
8. GOLDSTAR PRADA 8 $31.00 $5.00 $21.03
6. NOT OUR FAULT 6 $101.00 $9.00 $56.90
Favourite record at THE GARDENS โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.24) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 95% 79
1.50โ€“1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00โ€“2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50โ€“3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.