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THE GARDENS

R1 7:19 PM R2 7:38 PM R3 8:01 PM R4 8:19 PM R5 8:39 PM R6 8:56 PM R7 9:17 PM R8 9:37 PM R9 10:01 PM R10 10:18 PM R11 10:35 PM R12 10:59 PM

Race 10

10:18 PM
515m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st RELEASE POINT โญ Best Bet
2nd OCCULENT ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd GRETA
4th NANGAR CHARM
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” RELEASE POINT finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” OCCULENT ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
RELEASE POINT P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
3
OCCULENT P $1.32
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. RELEASE POINT FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.36 $1.02 $2.28
3. OCCULENT 3 $5.50 $1.32 $6.44
6. NANGAR CHARM 6 $6.50 $1.38 $6.72
8. PIRATE RIOT 8 $20.00 $2.90 $12.96
2. GRETA 2 $18.00 $2.60 $13.72
5. SHREWD ETHICS 5 $34.00 $3.80 $19.95
7. MY MOON SHADOW 7 $34.00 $3.80 $26.41
4. FASCINATE MARIA 4 $81.00 $5.50 $51.04
Favourite record at THE GARDENS โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.36) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 95% 79
1.50โ€“1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00โ€“2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50โ€“3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.