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LAUNCESTON

R1 12:05 PM R2 12:26 PM R3 12:41 PM R4 1:04 PM R5 1:19 PM R6 1:47 PM R7 2:07 PM R8 2:22 PM R9 2:49 PM R10 3:09 PM R11 3:32 PM

Race 8

2:22 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SKETCHY TAKEOVER 💡 Saver
2nd GREEDY BUTCHER 📍 Place Pick
3rd NITRO DE GOEY
4th POSIE SHINES
✅ Place bet landed — GREEDY BUTCHER ran a place
✅ Saver won — SKETCHY TAKEOVER finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
GREEDY BUTCHER W $1.95·P $1.10
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
8
SKETCHY TAKEOVER P $1.14
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. GREEDY BUTCHER FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.95 $1.10 $2.99
8. SKETCHY TAKEOVER 8 $2.30 $1.14 $3.03
7. REIKO HULK 7 $15.00 $2.35 $11.82
4. HIGHGATE WINSTON 4 $12.00 $2.05 $12.33
1. POSIE SHINES 1 $15.00 $2.30 $16.58
5. NITRO DE GOEY 5 $23.00 $3.10 $22.40
3. MIGHTY MURPHY 3 $51.00 $4.20 $30.00
6. CHERRY EMINEM 6 $71.00 $5.00 $31.53
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 78% 98% 50*
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 83% 88
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 65
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 80

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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