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LAUNCESTON

R1 12:05 PM R2 12:26 PM R3 12:41 PM R4 1:04 PM R5 1:19 PM R6 1:47 PM R7 2:07 PM R8 2:22 PM R9 2:49 PM R10 3:09 PM R11 3:32 PM

Race 7

2:07 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st NITRO PLUME 💡 Saver
2nd GRAPEFRUIT SILLY ⭐ Best Bet
3rd SET ALIGHT
4th CANYA DO IT
✅ Place bet landed — GRAPEFRUIT SILLY ran a place
✅ Saver won — NITRO PLUME finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
GRAPEFRUIT SILLY P $1.09
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
NITRO PLUME P $1.22
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. GRAPEFRUIT SILLY FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.70 $1.09 $2.59
2. NITRO PLUME 2 $3.10 $1.22 $4.44
3. BLACKBRUSH CADET 3 $9.50 $1.90 $10.22
6. CANYA DO IT 6 $15.00 $2.40 $11.32
8. AUSSIE PABLO 8 $17.00 $2.70 $14.33
5. JORJI'S JAZZ 5 $18.00 $2.80 $15.41
4. THAT'S WHEN 4 $31.00 $3.60 $24.85
7. SET ALIGHT 7 $51.00 $4.60 $37.12
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 78% 98% 50*
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 83% 88
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 65
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 80

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.