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LAUNCESTON

R1 12:05 PM R2 12:26 PM R3 12:41 PM R4 1:04 PM R5 1:19 PM R6 1:47 PM R7 2:07 PM R8 2:22 PM R9 2:49 PM R10 3:09 PM R11 3:32 PM

Race 4

1:04 PM
600m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st TWO GIRLS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd NITRO ROSE 💡 Saver
3rd AVANT DANGER
4th IN THE BALANCE
✅ Place bet — won outright — TWO GIRLS finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — NITRO ROSE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
TWO GIRLS P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
NITRO ROSE P $1.95
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. TWO GIRLS FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.34 $1.10 $2.00
2. NITRO ROSE 2 $6.00 $1.95 $7.12
1. HOUDINI'S SISTER 1 $8.50 $2.30 $7.44
4. AVANT DANGER 4 $11.00 $2.90 $10.06
8. POWER OF ONE 8 $31.00 $5.25 $18.61
7. SETTLE DOWN 7 $51.00 $6.00 $22.15
3. IN THE BALANCE 3 $61.00 $7.00 $37.35
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.34) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 78% 98% 50*
1.50–1.99 55% 83% 88
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 65
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 80

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.