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NORTHAM

R1 4:44 PM R2 5:09 PM R3 5:28 PM R4 5:43 PM R5 6:02 PM R6 6:17 PM R7 6:32 PM R8 6:50 PM R9 7:09 PM R10 7:24 PM

Race 4

5:43 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SURELY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd WISECRACKER 💡 Saver
3rd ARCTIC CROP
4th NITRO'S RUBY
✅ Place bet — won outright — SURELY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — WISECRACKER ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
SURELY P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
6
WISECRACKER P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. SURELY FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.70 $1.10 $2.68
8. NITRO'S RUBY 8 $5.00 $1.36 $5.63
6. WISECRACKER 6 $4.40 $1.30 $6.09
4. ARCTIC CROP 4 $14.00 $2.45 $11.45
7. NEON LEON 7 $13.00 $2.40 $13.64
1. LET'S GO SPIKE 1 $23.00 $3.40 $16.34
2. RUN DON'T WALK 2 $51.00 $5.00 $30.57
5. DAIKOKU FLYER 5 $81.00 $5.75 $32.80
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 88% 32*
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 45% 69% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.