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NORTHAM

R1 4:44 PM R2 5:09 PM R3 5:28 PM R4 5:43 PM R5 6:02 PM R6 6:17 PM R7 6:32 PM R8 6:50 PM R9 7:09 PM R10 7:24 PM

Race 10

7:24 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st GOLD SMIRCH 💡 Saver
2nd BRUISER MY UNCLE
3rd FIRE FLY TOUKLEY 📍 Place Pick
4th SHINBONER PIXIE
✅ Place bet landed — FIRE FLY TOUKLEY ran a place
✅ Saver won — GOLD SMIRCH finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
8
FIRE FLY TOUKLEY W $2.10·P $1.18
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
4
GOLD SMIRCH P $1.26
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. FIRE FLY TOUKLEY FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.10 $1.18 $3.49
4. GOLD SMIRCH 4 $3.30 $1.26 $3.95
1. SHINBONER PIXIE 1 $5.00 $1.38 $7.25
2. JUST MUST 2 $11.00 $2.25 $9.58
6. THANK YOU JOE 6 $17.00 $3.10 $13.55
5. TULLY'S GEM 5 $21.00 $3.40 $16.66
7. BRUISER MY UNCLE 7 $26.00 $3.90 $20.97
3. GO GETTEM BERYL 3 $41.00 $4.60 $27.30
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 88% 32*
2.00–2.49 this race 31% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 45% 69% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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