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THE GARDENS

R1 3:04 PM R2 3:23 PM R3 3:44 PM R4 4:00 PM R5 4:22 PM R6 4:42 PM R7 5:03 PM R8 5:24 PM R9 5:42 PM R10 6:04 PM R11 6:27 PM R12 6:50 PM

Race 3

3:44 PM
272m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st MIDNIGHT FURY โญ Best Bet
2nd DON'T DO IT ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd ROLLED YOU
4th SHIPLEY'S GIRL
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” MIDNIGHT FURY finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” DON'T DO IT ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
MIDNIGHT FURY P $1.12
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
6
DON'T DO IT P $1.24
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. MIDNIGHT FURY FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.95 $1.12 $2.81
6. DON'T DO IT 6 $3.20 $1.24 $4.26
2. SHIPLEY'S GIRL 2 $5.50 $1.36 $6.24
1. TOBY BELL 1 $10.00 $2.05 $11.67
4. RATTLIN' MAGIC 4 $31.00 $4.00 $18.21
7. ROLLED YOU 7 $26.00 $3.20 $22.16
5. JONO'S ENERGY 5 $41.00 $4.40 $22.82
3. ARMAGEDDON IT 3 $81.00 $6.00 $51.50
Favourite record at THE GARDENS โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 54% 84% 172
2.00โ€“2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50โ€“3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.