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BALLARAT

R1 10:39 AM R2 10:54 AM R3 11:11 AM R4 11:31 AM R5 11:48 AM R6 12:03 PM R7 12:18 PM R8 12:36 PM R9 1:04 PM R10 1:22 PM R11 1:42 PM R12 2:12 PM R13 2:29 PM R14 2:44 PM

Race 11

1:42 PM
390m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Ballarat Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st NERA BULLET
2nd ASTON ADRIANA 💡 Saver
3rd TRENTON'S CREED
4th PAW CASSIAN
❌ Unplaced — ASTON OSTUNI didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — ASTON ADRIANA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ASTON OSTUNI P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
3
ASTON ADRIANA P $2.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. ASTON OSTUNI FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.38 $1.10 $2.28
4. PAW CASSIAN 4 $8.50 $2.35 $7.16
7. NERA BULLET 7 $9.50 $2.60 $7.25
6. TRENTON'S CREED 6 $10.00 $2.70 $7.46
3. ASTON ADRIANA 3 $8.00 $2.30 $8.39
8. RUSTY RANCHER 8 $51.00 $5.75 $33.42
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.38) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 64% 90% 80
1.50–1.99 52% 81% 191
2.00–2.49 34% 72% 190
2.50–3.49 31% 63% 237
3.50–4.99 16% 42% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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