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NORTHAM

R1 3:48 PM R2 4:09 PM R3 4:27 PM R4 4:45 PM R5 5:01 PM R6 5:20 PM R7 5:39 PM R8 6:01 PM R9 6:26 PM R10 6:43 PM

Race 6

5:20 PM
297m ยท 6 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st JUST MUST โญ Best Bet
2nd SURELY ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd GRANDAD KEVIN
4th NEON LEON
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” JUST MUST finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” SURELY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
JUST MUST P $1.26
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
5
SURELY P $1.55
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
7. JUST MUST FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.00 $1.26 $3.09
5. SURELY 5 $3.70 $1.55 $3.93
3. NEON LEON 3 $5.50 $2.10 $6.49
6. GRANDAD KEVIN 6 $8.50 $2.90 $7.57
4. TRICEP KING 4 $13.00 $3.80 $10.53
2. WARNE MAGIC 2 $31.00 $5.50 $24.17
Favourite record at NORTHAM โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00โ€“2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 56% 88% 32*
2.00โ€“2.49 this race 31% 66% 29*
2.50โ€“3.49 45% 69% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.