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NORTHAM

R1 3:48 PM R2 4:09 PM R3 4:27 PM R4 4:45 PM R5 5:01 PM R6 5:20 PM R7 5:39 PM R8 6:01 PM R9 6:26 PM R10 6:43 PM

Race 3

4:27 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st GO LILO GO
2nd FOREVER SEVEN 📍 Place Pick
3rd SHINBONER SMOKEY 💡 Saver
4th ARCTIC CROP
✅ Place bet landed — FOREVER SEVEN ran a place
✅ Saver placed — SHINBONER SMOKEY ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
FOREVER SEVEN W $2.10·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
SHINBONER SMOKEY P $1.45
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. FOREVER SEVEN FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.10 $1.22 $3.41
2. SHINBONER SMOKEY 2 $4.80 $1.45 $6.07
1. GO LILO GO 1 $6.00 $1.75 $7.36
7. ARCTIC CROP 7 $8.50 $2.15 $8.04
8. WIZARD'S NERO 8 $9.00 $2.25 $9.94
4. SHINBONER FIESTY 4 $11.00 $2.45 $11.99
6. CHIPPIN' AWAY 6 $20.00 $3.50 $17.70
5. RUN DON'T WALK 5 $34.00 $4.60 $24.28
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 88% 32*
2.00–2.49 this race 31% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 45% 69% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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