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NORTHAM

R1 3:48 PM R2 4:09 PM R3 4:27 PM R4 4:45 PM R5 5:01 PM R6 5:20 PM R7 5:39 PM R8 6:01 PM R9 6:26 PM R10 6:43 PM

Race 1

3:48 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st WHITE KEYS
2nd NO ROLE MODELS
3rd MATTE BLACK 💡 Saver
4th CHAROS FINALE
❌ Unplaced — KEEP WATCHING didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — MATTE BLACK ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
KEEP WATCHING W $2.25·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
MATTE BLACK P $1.50
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. KEEP WATCHING FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.25 $1.22 $4.16
5. MATTE BLACK 5 $5.00 $1.50 $4.78
8. CHAROS DESTINY 8 $5.50 $1.65 $5.22
6. NO ROLE MODELS 6 $5.00 $1.50 $7.76
3. WHITE KEYS 3 $8.00 $2.05 $8.71
7. CHAROS FINALE 7 $19.00 $3.50 $16.07
4. QUEEN JETT 4 $51.00 $5.50 $37.88
1. FIT IN FIVE 1 $51.00 $5.25 $38.23
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 88% 32*
2.00–2.49 this race 31% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 45% 69% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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