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THE GARDENS

R1 3:12 PM R2 3:28 PM R3 3:52 PM R4 4:08 PM R5 4:32 PM R6 4:48 PM R7 5:09 PM R8 5:27 PM R9 5:49 PM R10 6:12 PM R11 6:35 PM R12 6:53 PM

Race 4

4:08 PM
515m ยท 6 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st HOMER MULWEE โญ Best Bet
2nd BRING ON BLING
3rd BLACK BOOK IT
4th HANK MCCOY
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” HOMER MULWEE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
HOMER MULWEE P $1.24
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
5
ELLA KNOWS P $1.90
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. HOMER MULWEE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.00 $1.24 $2.86
5. ELLA KNOWS 5 $4.40 $1.90 $4.32
7. BRING ON BLING 7 $5.50 $2.15 $7.42
2. HANK MCCOY 2 $6.50 $2.35 $8.20
8. BLACK BOOK IT 8 $15.00 $4.00 $10.46
4. FASCINATE MARIA 4 $18.00 $4.40 $14.98
Favourite record at THE GARDENS โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00โ€“2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50โ€“1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00โ€“2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50โ€“3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.