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THE GARDENS

R1 3:12 PM R2 3:28 PM R3 3:52 PM R4 4:08 PM R5 4:32 PM R6 4:48 PM R7 5:09 PM R8 5:27 PM R9 5:49 PM R10 6:12 PM R11 6:35 PM R12 6:53 PM

Race 12

6:53 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LARRIKIN PIONEER ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FROGGY DID IT 💡 Saver
3rd STORYLINE
4th GOLDILOCKS GORT
✅ Place bet — won outright — LARRIKIN PIONEER finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — FROGGY DID IT ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
LARRIKIN PIONEER P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
FROGGY DID IT P $1.36
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. LARRIKIN PIONEER FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.16 $1.02 $1.85
4. FROGGY DID IT 4 $8.00 $1.36 $8.55
3. INDIGO PEARL 3 $11.00 $1.70 $9.76
2. GOLDILOCKS GORT 2 $21.00 $2.40 $13.97
7. FASCINATE OLIVER 7 $26.00 $2.80 $18.41
8. CERULEAN MOON 8 $31.00 $3.10 $18.70
5. STORYLINE 5 $31.00 $3.10 $21.52
6. BELLA RORY 6 $126.00 $5.50 $68.83
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.16) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.