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LAUNCESTON

R1 11:44 AM R2 12:07 PM R3 12:30 PM R4 12:51 PM R5 1:15 PM R6 1:37 PM R7 1:57 PM R8 2:17 PM R9 2:45 PM R10 3:09 PM

Race 5

1:15 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st IVORY JAPAN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd NITRO PLUME 💡 Saver
3rd REINDEER HEDGHOG
4th SNOWFALL
✅ Place bet — won outright — IVORY JAPAN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — NITRO PLUME ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
IVORY JAPAN P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
3
NITRO PLUME P $1.34
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. IVORY JAPAN FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.90 $1.14 $2.86
3. NITRO PLUME 3 $4.40 $1.34 $4.72
4. SNOWFALL 4 $6.50 $1.70 $8.41
7. REINDEER HEDGHOG 7 $9.50 $2.15 $9.91
2. SKETCHY TAKEOVER 2 $9.50 $2.15 $10.47
5. AVANT DANGER 5 $15.00 $2.90 $17.60
8. SHARON'S SCOOTER 8 $31.00 $4.20 $28.64
10. PARIS DANGER 10 $61.00 $5.50 $32.08
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 76% 98% 51*
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 83% 89
2.00–2.49 32% 67% 66
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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