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THE GARDENS

R1 5:23 PM R2 5:41 PM R3 6:04 PM R4 6:19 PM R5 6:46 PM R6 7:08 PM R7 7:24 PM R8 7:40 PM R9 7:57 PM R10 8:19 PM R11 8:38 PM R12 8:56 PM

Race 2

5:41 PM
400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st SERGEANT DUKER
2nd ASPEN RIDGE 📍 Place Pick
3rd MIA PARTY GIRL
4th SAMJAI
✅ Place bet landed — ASPEN RIDGE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
ASPEN RIDGE P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. ASPEN RIDGE FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.75 $1.38 $3.25
2. RAINBOW SHOUT 2 $4.00 $1.90 $4.58
1. MIA PARTY GIRL 1 $5.00 $2.15 $5.61
5. SERGEANT DUKER 5 $5.50 $2.30 $6.24
6. SAMJAI 6 $9.00 $3.30 $13.01
4. ZIPPING GOOFY 4 $12.00 $3.90 $16.91
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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