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THE GARDENS

R1 5:23 PM R2 5:41 PM R3 6:04 PM R4 6:19 PM R5 6:46 PM R6 7:08 PM R7 7:24 PM R8 7:40 PM R9 7:57 PM R10 8:19 PM R11 8:38 PM R12 8:56 PM

Race 11

8:38 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MORE RAIN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd STARLIGHT DUKE
3rd ROAD TO JERRY'S 💡 Saver
4th CHUTZPAH
✅ Place bet — won outright — MORE RAIN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ROAD TO JERRY'S ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
MORE RAIN P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
ROAD TO JERRY'S P $1.36
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. MORE RAIN FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.65 $1.10 $3.23
4. ROAD TO JERRY'S 4 $4.80 $1.36 $5.28
8. KALANI MISS 8 $5.50 $1.45 $5.81
7. MIDNIGHT MOHAWK 7 $11.00 $2.25 $9.02
3. REGIS CAITLYN 3 $16.00 $2.90 $13.17
6. CHUTZPAH 6 $26.00 $3.70 $19.01
9. STARLIGHT DUKE 9 $21.00 $3.40 $20.54
5. SKETCHY GET IN 5 $41.00 $4.60 $24.74
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 this race 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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