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THE GARDENS

R1 6:10 PM R2 6:29 PM R3 6:48 PM R4 7:09 PM R5 7:29 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:05 PM R8 8:27 PM R9 8:52 PM R10 9:15 PM R11 9:30 PM R12 9:50 PM

Race 11

9:30 PM
272m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st KARLI MULWEE
2nd BALLYNEALE BULL
3rd FIREBALL NIGHT 💡 Saver
4th GIGI LA FEMME
❌ Unplaced — KAREN STRATUS didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — FIREBALL NIGHT ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
KAREN STRATUS P $1.06
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
FIREBALL NIGHT P $1.26
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. KAREN STRATUS FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.55 $1.06 $2.37
7. FIREBALL NIGHT 7 $3.90 $1.26 $5.38
3. KARLI MULWEE 3 $5.00 $1.28 $5.92
6. MARRA LAD 6 $14.00 $2.25 $11.12
4. BALLYNEALE BULL 4 $34.00 $3.80 $22.58
1. GIGI LA FEMME 1 $51.00 $4.20 $28.93
2. CRANKY CRUISER 2 $51.00 $4.20 $29.61
5. MISS GRAHAM 5 $81.00 $5.25 $47.72
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 72% 93% 104
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 86% 233
2.00–2.49 39% 68% 207
2.50–3.49 29% 64% 275
3.50–4.99 28% 60% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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