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HOBART

R1 6:37 PM R2 6:57 PM R3 7:16 PM R4 7:40 PM R5 8:01 PM R6 8:19 PM R7 8:43 PM R8 9:04 PM R9 9:28 PM R10 9:49 PM

Race 1

6:37 PM
340m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Hobart Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st FIRE WATER BURN
2nd CARISSA'S BABY ⭐ Best Bet
3rd BLACK MOUSE 💡 Saver
4th STEP ON IT
✅ Place bet landed — CARISSA'S BABY ran a place
✅ Saver placed — BLACK MOUSE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
CARISSA'S BABY P $1.12
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
3
BLACK MOUSE P $1.26
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. CARISSA'S BABY FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.90 $1.12 $2.98
3. BLACK MOUSE 3 $3.40 $1.26 $4.05
7. FAST CAR 7 $5.50 $1.40 $5.89
8. FIRE WATER BURN 8 $14.00 $2.50 $13.14
6. DEADLY STREET 6 $14.00 $2.50 $13.45
4. PIECE OF ME 4 $26.00 $3.70 $20.56
1. ONE MORE CAKE 1 $41.00 $4.40 $37.15
5. STEP ON IT 5 $51.00 $5.00 $47.03
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 80% 91% 121
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 82% 150
2.00–2.49 39% 75% 135
2.50–3.49 30% 74% 102
3.50–4.99 0% 46% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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