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THE GARDENS

R1 2:17 PM R2 2:35 PM R3 2:57 PM R4 3:15 PM R5 3:37 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:17 PM R8 4:37 PM R9 4:57 PM R10 5:19 PM

Race 6

3:55 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MY BREAD ROLL 📍 Place Pick
2nd BILLY BLINDERS
3rd FULL TILT TOM
4th VERY SAVAGE
✅ Place bet — won outright — MY BREAD ROLL finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
MY BREAD ROLL W $2.05·P $1.12
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
LOCHINVAR GRACE P $1.20
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. MY BREAD ROLL FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.05 $1.12 $3.10
5. LOCHINVAR GRACE 5 $2.60 $1.20 $3.57
2. BILLY BLINDERS 2 $8.00 $1.75 $9.39
7. FIREBALL ZED 7 $15.00 $2.40 $12.13
1. FULL TILT TOM 1 $14.00 $2.35 $12.98
8. MATT JET POWER 8 $26.00 $3.40 $17.11
6. VERY SAVAGE 6 $34.00 $3.80 $20.48
4. FASCINATE ABBY 4 $71.00 $5.00 $41.69
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.05) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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