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THE GARDENS

R1 11:44 AM R2 12:04 PM R3 12:27 PM R4 12:47 PM R5 1:07 PM R6 1:26 PM R7 1:46 PM R8 2:04 PM R9 2:24 PM R10 2:48 PM

Race 9

2:24 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FLYING MONKEY'S
2nd MISS ELPHABA
3rd MAKE YOUR STAND
4th GENUINE ARTICLE
❌ Unplaced — HOMER MULWEE didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
HOMER MULWEE P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. HOMER MULWEE FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.90 $1.28 $3.58
2. FLYING MONKEY'S 2 $3.80 $1.34 $5.09
7. DANIEL KEEPING 7 $7.00 $2.05 $7.88
1. MAKE YOUR STAND 1 $5.50 $1.70 $8.08
6. NO SHARES 6 $12.00 $2.80 $11.57
5. MISS ELPHABA 5 $13.00 $3.00 $13.98
8. WADE'S EDGE 8 $16.00 $3.30 $16.35
4. GENUINE ARTICLE 4 $17.00 $3.30 $18.42
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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