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BALLARAT

R1 5:27 PM R2 5:47 PM R3 6:11 PM R4 6:32 PM R5 6:50 PM R6 7:13 PM R7 7:32 PM R8 7:51 PM R9 8:09 PM R10 8:28 PM R11 8:52 PM R12 9:17 PM R13 9:37 PM R14 9:57 PM

Race 14

9:57 PM
390m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Ballarat Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st PAW NATULLO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ASTON CLEESE
3rd ALBORZ GIRL
4th SUMO SMASH 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — PAW NATULLO finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
PAW NATULLO P $1.24
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
SUMO SMASH P $1.90
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
7. PAW NATULLO FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.80 $1.24 $2.79
4. ALBORZ GIRL 4 $6.00 $2.10 $5.68
2. SUMO SMASH 2 $5.00 $1.90 $5.74
3. PHOENIX RED 3 $8.50 $2.70 $7.25
6. ASTON CLEESE 6 $9.00 $2.80 $8.64
8. SUPER SEAFARER 8 $41.00 $6.00 $26.53
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 65% 90% 82
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 80% 192
2.00–2.49 35% 72% 195
2.50–3.49 31% 63% 242
3.50–4.99 16% 42% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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