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THE GARDENS

R1 5:10 PM R2 5:27 PM R3 5:44 PM R4 6:08 PM R5 6:23 PM R6 6:39 PM R7 7:01 PM R8 7:17 PM R9 7:39 PM R10 7:55 PM R11 8:20 PM R12 8:44 PM

Race 3

5:44 PM
272m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st ICE ON FIRE 📍 Place Pick
2nd SALAMAT
3rd ASTON PRESIDENT 💡 Saver
4th BRONTE BEACH
✅ Place bet — won outright — ICE ON FIRE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ASTON PRESIDENT ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
ICE ON FIRE W $2.45·P $1.34
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
ASTON PRESIDENT P $1.70
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. ICE ON FIRE FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.45 $1.34 $3.82
2. ASTON PRESIDENT 2 $3.50 $1.70 $4.52
8. SALAMAT 8 $3.80 $1.85 $4.55
5. MORTAR 5 $6.00 $2.40 $6.19
3. BRONTE BEACH 3 $23.00 $5.50 $17.05
7. BIG RED MIYAGI 7 $34.00 $6.50 $23.01
6. GIGI LA FEMME 6 $61.00 $12.00 $29.67
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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