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THE GARDENS

R1 5:10 PM R2 5:27 PM R3 5:44 PM R4 6:08 PM R5 6:23 PM R6 6:39 PM R7 7:01 PM R8 7:17 PM R9 7:39 PM R10 7:55 PM R11 8:20 PM R12 8:44 PM

Race 11

8:20 PM

400m · 7 runners

🏁 Result

1st MOONLIGHT ZIPPER ⭐ Best Bet

2nd MY WEE LASS

3rd ELLA'S GLORY 💡 Saver

4th RHONDA FULL DAY

✅ Place bet — won outright — MOONLIGHT ZIPPER finished 1st

✅ Saver placed — ELLA'S GLORY ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

MOONLIGHT ZIPPER P $1.10

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.

ELLA'S GLORY P $1.55

Saver · place

Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
2. MOONLIGHT ZIPPER FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.30	$1.10	$2.16
4. ELLA'S GLORY	4	$4.60	$1.55	$4.53
5. MY WEE LASS	5	$13.00	$3.40	$9.98
6. RHONDA FULL DAY	6	$13.00	$3.40	$13.17
1. AUNTY EVE	1	$23.00	$4.60	$17.90
7. ZIPPING FRIDA	7	$41.00	$6.00	$21.20
3. ZIPPING SEVERUS	3	$41.00	$5.75	$27.55

Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.30) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50 this race	77%	95%	79
1.50–1.99	54%	84%	172
2.00–2.49	40%	69%	159
2.50–3.49	28%	63%	226
3.50–4.99	24%	58%	38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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