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THE GARDENS

R1 5:10 PM R2 5:27 PM R3 5:44 PM R4 6:08 PM R5 6:23 PM R6 6:39 PM R7 7:01 PM R8 7:17 PM R9 7:39 PM R10 7:55 PM R11 8:20 PM R12 8:44 PM

Race 10

7:55 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SKINNY MARIE
2nd MY BREAD ROLL 📍 Place Pick
3rd SEMI PEAKIN' 💡 Saver
4th GEORGE JUDY
✅ Place bet landed — MY BREAD ROLL ran a place
✅ Saver placed — SEMI PEAKIN' ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
MY BREAD ROLL W $2.20·P $1.14
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
1
SEMI PEAKIN' P $1.18
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. MY BREAD ROLL FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.20 $1.14 $3.24
1. SEMI PEAKIN' 1 $2.40 $1.18 $3.64
5. SKINNY MARIE 5 $9.00 $1.95 $9.04
2. GEORGE JUDY 2 $9.50 $1.90 $9.44
8. GRETZKY 8 $12.00 $2.20 $10.32
3. SPARKY KEY 3 $31.00 $3.80 $24.14
7. THAT'S MINE 7 $51.00 $4.60 $26.22
6. WHITEY 6 $61.00 $5.00 $42.15
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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