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RICHMOND

R1 6:20 PM R2 6:38 PM R3 6:57 PM R4 7:20 PM R5 7:38 PM R6 7:57 PM R7 8:23 PM R8 8:38 PM R9 8:57 PM R10 9:17 PM R11 9:37 PM R12 9:57 PM

Race 5

7:38 PM
401m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st TOMMY'S DAWN 📍 Place Pick
2nd TERRELL BANNER
3rd JAMAL WICK
4th TAKE HIS EYES
✅ Place bet — won outright — TOMMY'S DAWN finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
TOMMY'S DAWN P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
6
BRETT KEEPING W $4.40
Form view · saver 6.7% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (6 starts) · Recent form: 1513
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. TOMMY'S DAWN FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.80 $1.40 $4.26
6. BRETT KEEPING 6 $4.40 $2.10 $4.35
3. TERRELL BANNER 3 $3.90 $1.95 $4.88
1. JAMAL WICK 1 $3.70 $1.80 $5.23
8. MIDNIGHT ARROW 8 $13.00 $4.20 $12.14
5. TAKE HIS EYES 5 $34.00 $6.50 $29.22
7. CALLA RUSTY 7 $81.00 $18.00 $43.79
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 85% 93
1.50–1.99 50% 79% 225
2.00–2.49 39% 76% 209
2.50–3.49 this race 37% 70% 220
3.50–4.99 33% 58% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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