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Race 11

12:39 PM
400m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Geelong Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st IF HE COULD ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SMILING LILY
3rd DOT'S REDEEMER
4th SPECIAL PLAYERS
✅ Place bet — won outright — IF HE COULD finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
IF HE COULD P $1.26
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
6
NOT SORRY P $2.05
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. IF HE COULD FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.95 $1.26 $3.13
6. NOT SORRY 6 $4.60 $2.05 $6.50
1. SPECIAL PLAYERS 1 $8.00 $2.90 $7.40
3. SMILING LILY 3 $12.00 $3.70 $8.26
4. ELECTRIC MAYHEM 4 $8.00 $3.00 $9.11
2. BERRINGA PADDY 2 $12.00 $3.70 $10.13
7. DOT'S REDEEMER 7 $20.00 $5.00 $16.10
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 67% 94% 54*
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 80% 190
2.00–2.49 39% 79% 173
2.50–3.49 35% 66% 248
3.50–4.99 12% 46% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.