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GEELONG

R1 9:31 AM R2 9:52 AM R3 10:07 AM R4 10:29 AM R5 10:46 AM R6 11:02 AM R7 11:19 AM R8 11:37 AM R9 11:57 AM R10 12:22 PM R11 12:39 PM R12 12:55 PM R13 1:14 PM

Race 1

9:31 AM
400m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Geelong Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st ASTON ELLIE 💡 Saver
2nd PAW ERIS
3rd PAW XELA
4th RAPID WATERBOY
❌ Unplaced — PLUTONIC didn't feature
✅ Saver won — ASTON ELLIE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
PLUTONIC P $1.16
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
ASTON ELLIE P $1.38
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. PLUTONIC FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.55 $1.16 $2.31
4. ASTON ELLIE 4 $3.60 $1.38 $4.80
1. PAW ERIS 1 $8.50 $2.50 $7.01
8. RAPID WATERBOY 8 $10.00 $3.00 $9.67
7. TINKER SPOT 7 $34.00 $5.50 $16.54
6. PAW XELA 6 $26.00 $5.00 $19.15
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 67% 94% 54*
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 80% 190
2.00–2.49 39% 79% 173
2.50–3.49 35% 66% 248
3.50–4.99 12% 46% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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