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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 2:24 PM R2 2:45 PM R3 3:02 PM R4 3:27 PM R5 3:47 PM R6 4:02 PM R7 4:22 PM R8 4:37 PM R9 4:57 PM R10 5:19 PM R11 5:37 PM R12 5:57 PM R13 6:21 PM R14 6:41 PM

Race 10

5:19 PM
352m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st EXPELLED 📍 Place Pick
2nd SEE THE FIRE 💡 Saver
3rd SUNSET DREAMING
4th RAINMAKER JOE
✅ Place bet — won outright — EXPELLED finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SEE THE FIRE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
EXPELLED W $2.20·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
SEE THE FIRE P $1.38
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. EXPELLED FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.20 $1.22 $4.30
5. SEE THE FIRE 5 $4.20 $1.38 $4.38
7. SUNSET DREAMING 7 $5.00 $1.55 $5.11
8. RAINMAKER JOE 8 $10.00 $2.35 $10.32
1. TOO HOT 1 $8.00 $2.10 $11.62
6. AMAZING MILEY 6 $18.00 $3.50 $14.66
2. OUT OF AUSTRIA 2 $21.00 $3.60 $18.36
3. GOLDSTAR CRYSTAL 3 $26.00 $4.00 $26.41
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 160
1.50–1.99 49% 79% 374
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 73% 314
2.50–3.49 33% 66% 369
3.50–4.99 33% 65% 55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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