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THE GARDENS

R1 5:20 PM R2 5:35 PM R3 5:54 PM R4 6:12 PM R5 6:29 PM R6 6:48 PM R7 7:08 PM R8 7:33 PM R9 7:48 PM R10 8:10 PM R11 8:34 PM R12 8:50 PM

Race 11

8:34 PM
272m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st YOUNG ENERGY 📍 Place Pick
2nd ROLLED YOU
3rd ICE ON FIRE 💡 Saver
4th BIG RED MIYAGI
✅ Place bet — won outright — YOUNG ENERGY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ICE ON FIRE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
YOUNG ENERGY W $1.90·P $1.09
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
ICE ON FIRE P $1.18
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. YOUNG ENERGY FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.90 $1.09 $2.92
5. ICE ON FIRE 5 $2.60 $1.18 $3.24
8. POPPY'S DARLIN' 8 $9.00 $1.80 $10.10
7. ALL JOY 7 $18.00 $2.60 $15.77
4. BARSANDO 4 $21.00 $2.80 $16.01
2. BIG RED MIYAGI 2 $31.00 $3.50 $20.62
1. ROLLED YOU 1 $23.00 $3.00 $21.34
6. QUEEN JEWEL 6 $61.00 $4.60 $35.04
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 this race 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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