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THE GARDENS

R1 1:52 PM R2 2:17 PM R3 2:40 PM R4 2:57 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:37 PM R7 3:59 PM R8 4:17 PM R9 4:39 PM R10 5:08 PM R11 5:27 PM R12 5:42 PM

Race 12

5:42 PM
400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st HOOKED ON JOY
2nd BILLY BLINDERS
3rd FOOLS RUSH IN
4th MASTER MURRAYA
❌ Unplaced — SUBSONIC didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
SUBSONIC P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. SUBSONIC FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.65 $1.34 $3.12
4. HOOKED ON JOY 4 $2.90 $1.38 $3.93
8. FOOLS RUSH IN 8 $4.20 $1.95 $4.77
7. BILLY BLINDERS 7 $11.00 $3.60 $10.84
3. MASTER MURRAYA 3 $8.50 $3.10 $11.40
6. MARTIN'S SHINE 6 $51.00 $8.50 $27.60
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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