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RICHMOND

R1 5:57 PM R2 6:20 PM R3 6:42 PM R4 6:57 PM R5 7:19 PM R6 7:42 PM R7 8:04 PM R8 8:23 PM R9 8:42 PM R10 9:00 PM R11 9:20 PM

Race 7

8:04 PM
401m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st TOMMY'S DAWN
2nd HENDRIX
3rd ROSACKY RAYO 💡 Saver
4th TAP OUT RUSTY
❌ Unplaced — RELEASE POINT didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — ROSACKY RAYO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
RELEASE POINT P $1.05
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
ROSACKY RAYO P $1.32
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. RELEASE POINT FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.45 $1.05 $2.08
2. ROSACKY RAYO 2 $5.50 $1.32 $6.69
6. TOMMY'S DAWN 6 $8.00 $1.60 $9.78
3. BIG TOWN TILLY 3 $12.00 $2.10 $10.69
4. ROGUE AGENT 4 $21.00 $2.90 $16.93
8. HENDRIX 8 $31.00 $3.70 $21.85
7. CHEEKY CHEEKY 7 $31.00 $3.70 $23.27
1. TAP OUT RUSTY 1 $61.00 $4.80 $37.34
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.45) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 68% 85% 94
1.50–1.99 50% 79% 225
2.00–2.49 39% 75% 210
2.50–3.49 37% 71% 222
3.50–4.99 31% 55% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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