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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 1:52 PM R2 2:10 PM R3 2:37 PM R4 3:02 PM R5 3:23 PM R6 3:47 PM R7 4:12 PM R8 4:33 PM R9 4:57 PM R10 5:21 PM R11 5:39 PM R12 5:55 PM R13 6:15 PM

Race 7

4:12 PM
352m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SUTTON'S MAGIC 📍 Place Pick
2nd AQUA LILIUM
3rd EXPELLED
4th ROLLING ROYALTY
✅ Place bet — won outright — SUTTON'S MAGIC finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
SUTTON'S MAGIC P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. SUTTON'S MAGIC FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.60 $1.26 $3.58
3. EXPELLED 3 $4.60 $1.45 $7.33
7. ROLLING ROYALTY 7 $7.50 $2.10 $7.54
6. MAJESTIC ONE 6 $8.00 $2.20 $8.60
1. AQUA LILIUM 1 $6.50 $1.95 $9.29
4. KEY CHANGE 4 $11.00 $2.45 $10.19
5. AUSSIE PUZZLE 5 $12.00 $2.80 $10.90
8. KELLY'S WAY 8 $34.00 $4.80 $26.60
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 160
1.50–1.99 49% 79% 374
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 314
2.50–3.49 this race 33% 66% 369
3.50–4.99 33% 65% 55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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