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Race 4

3:17 PM
400m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Geelong Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st PAW FREDIA ⭐ Best Bet
2nd PAW OPPA
3rd HELD FOR RANSOM 💡 Saver
4th SLAY
✅ Place bet — won outright — PAW FREDIA finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — HELD FOR RANSOM ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
PAW FREDIA P $1.22
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
HELD FOR RANSOM P $1.60
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. PAW FREDIA FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.70 $1.22 $2.61
4. HELD FOR RANSOM 4 $3.90 $1.60 $5.13
5. PAW OPPA 5 $6.00 $2.25 $5.63
3. LIKE DYNAMITE 3 $11.00 $3.40 $9.85
1. SLAY 1 $14.00 $3.90 $13.65
7. LADY CALAMITY 7 $41.00 $6.50 $24.20
10. YAKU BALE 10 $51.00 $8.00 $36.33
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 67% 94% 54*
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 80% 190
2.00–2.49 39% 79% 173
2.50–3.49 35% 66% 248
3.50–4.99 12% 46% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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