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THE GARDENS

R1 5:17 PM R2 5:36 PM R3 5:52 PM R4 6:11 PM R5 6:31 PM R6 6:50 PM R7 7:06 PM R8 7:27 PM R9 7:49 PM R10 8:12 PM R11 8:31 PM

Race 7

7:06 PM
400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st RHAPSODY BEAST
2nd MISS ELPHABA 💡 Saver
3rd POURING RAIN
4th PETITE FERNANDO
❌ Unplaced — LIGNITE COAL didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — MISS ELPHABA ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
LIGNITE COAL W $2.25·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
MISS ELPHABA P $1.40
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. LIGNITE COAL FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.25 $1.30 $3.15
5. MISS ELPHABA 5 $3.00 $1.40 $3.96
8. PETITE FERNANDO 8 $6.00 $2.35 $5.53
7. RHAPSODY BEAST 7 $6.50 $2.45 $7.85
1. POURING RAIN 1 $26.00 $5.50 $14.13
2. SONGAR PEARL 2 $23.00 $5.25 $19.58
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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