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THE GARDENS

R1 5:17 PM R2 5:36 PM R3 5:52 PM R4 6:11 PM R5 6:31 PM R6 6:50 PM R7 7:06 PM R8 7:27 PM R9 7:49 PM R10 8:12 PM R11 8:31 PM

Race 4

6:11 PM
272m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st KENNY'S GIRL ⭐ Best Bet
2nd TOBY BELL
3rd BEL TOR EXPRESS
4th WE WILL SEE
✅ Place bet — won outright — KENNY'S GIRL finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
KENNY'S GIRL P $1.12
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
SKETCHY GET IN P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. KENNY'S GIRL FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.90 $1.12 $3.05
4. SKETCHY GET IN 4 $4.00 $1.30 $4.43
7. TOBY BELL 7 $6.50 $1.65 $7.46
5. IVY STAR 5 $8.50 $1.95 $10.96
3. ANDROID 3 $17.00 $2.90 $12.03
8. WE WILL SEE 8 $17.00 $3.00 $17.00
2. BEL TOR EXPRESS 2 $31.00 $3.90 $19.36
6. ZIA BETTY 6 $51.00 $5.25 $36.15
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 this race 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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