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THE GARDENS

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Race 5

4:00 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st FEDERAL PLAYER ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MY MACHINE
3rd LAURIE'S RUPEE
4th CHOPPER EXPRESS 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — FEDERAL PLAYER finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
FEDERAL PLAYER P $1.09
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
3
CHOPPER EXPRESS P $1.80
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
2
MY MACHINE W $8.00
Form view · saver 9.6% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 80% (5 starts) · Recent form: 1112
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
6. FEDERAL PLAYER FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.26 $1.09 $1.95
3. CHOPPER EXPRESS 3 $5.50 $1.80 $6.08
2. MY MACHINE 2 $8.00 $2.25 $7.41
1. BARRAMUNDI LOU 1 $19.00 $3.90 $15.04
8. LAURIE'S RUPEE 8 $31.00 $5.25 $21.40
7. SKINNY MARIE 7 $34.00 $5.25 $21.85
4. NO SHARES 4 $61.00 $7.00 $33.33
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.26) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.