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THE GARDENS

R1 5:22 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:01 PM R4 6:30 PM R5 6:51 PM R6 7:12 PM R7 7:35 PM R8 7:53 PM R9 8:14 PM R10 8:35 PM R11 8:53 PM

Race 6

7:12 PM
400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st LIGNITE COAL
2nd TOBY BELL
3rd KAWASAKI GIRL
4th KILCOY CASTLE 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — KILCOY CASTLE didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
2
KILCOY CASTLE P $1.55
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. KILCOY CASTLE FAV TOP RATED 2 $3.20 $1.55 $3.84
1. KAWASAKI GIRL 1 $3.20 $1.55 $4.31
5. MY FAIRY BREAD 5 $3.20 $1.60 $4.59
6. LIGNITE COAL 6 $5.50 $2.35 $6.65
3. LET'S TROT VIXEN 3 $10.00 $3.60 $9.10
7. TOBY BELL 7 $61.00 $12.00 $33.31
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 83
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 175
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 229
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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