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RICHMOND

R1 4:54 PM R2 5:12 PM R3 5:35 PM R4 5:54 PM R5 6:13 PM R6 6:32 PM R7 6:51 PM R8 7:10 PM R9 7:29 PM R10 7:52 PM R11 8:10 PM R12 8:27 PM

Race 4

5:54 PM
401m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st ASCEND FERN โญ Best Bet
2nd NEAR IMPOSSIBLE
3rd QUEEN ERA ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
4th BOSTON BANNER
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” ASCEND FERN finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” QUEEN ERA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
ASCEND FERN P $1.05
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
8
QUEEN ERA P $1.20
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. ASCEND FERN FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.55 $1.05 $2.32
8. QUEEN ERA 8 $3.10 $1.20 $3.93
6. FEDERAL NOTICE 6 $9.00 $1.70 $11.07
4. BOSTON BANNER 4 $15.00 $2.25 $14.41
3. GINNY RIGGS 3 $26.00 $3.00 $18.24
7. NEAR IMPOSSIBLE 7 $31.00 $3.50 $21.57
5. BLUE SYMBOL 5 $61.00 $4.60 $36.47
1. FLY AROUND 1 $51.00 $4.00 $40.03
Favourite record at RICHMOND โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 85% 95
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 51% 79% 229
2.00โ€“2.49 39% 75% 212
2.50โ€“3.49 38% 71% 227
3.50โ€“4.99 31% 55% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.