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THE GARDENS

R1 5:00 PM R2 5:19 PM R3 5:38 PM R4 6:00 PM R5 6:19 PM R6 6:46 PM R7 7:09 PM R8 7:30 PM R9 7:48 PM R10 8:08 PM R11 8:29 PM

Race 1

5:00 PM
400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st CERULEAN MOON
2nd WHITE DRESS
3rd MIDNIGHT MOHAWK ⭐ Best Bet
4th PROJECT NEMESIS
〰️ Best Bet placed — MIDNIGHT MOHAWK ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Strong
Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.
1
MIDNIGHT MOHAWK W $1.45
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
HOLLIES HAYLEY P $2.10
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. MIDNIGHT MOHAWK FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.45 $1.12 $1.74
5. HOLLIES HAYLEY 5 $6.50 $2.10 $7.45
2. PROJECT NEMESIS 2 $8.00 $2.40 $10.11
4. CERULEAN MOON 4 $8.50 $2.45 $12.77
8. TEBOGO 8 $15.00 $3.70 $16.75
7. WHITE DRESS 7 $21.00 $4.20 $18.43
Favourite record at THE GARDENS

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.45) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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