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THE GARDENS

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Race 5

3:20 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st KISS AND RUN 📍 Place Pick
2nd LARRIKIN PIONEER
3rd WHAT'S THE STORY
4th LAZULINE
✅ Place bet — won outright — KISS AND RUN finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
KISS AND RUN P $1.45
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. KISS AND RUN FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.75 $1.45 $4.27
8. LARRIKIN PIONEER 8 $3.00 $1.60 $4.30
6. WHAT'S THE STORY 6 $4.20 $2.05 $4.84
4. COBBLESTONE ROAD 4 $6.50 $2.70 $8.45
3. LAZULINE 3 $19.00 $5.50 $13.00
7. LAST KEY 7 $23.00 $5.75 $14.15
1. TOBY BELL 1 $19.00 $5.50 $16.40
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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