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THE GARDENS

R1 5:21 PM R2 5:46 PM R3 6:09 PM R4 6:31 PM R5 6:50 PM R6 7:12 PM R7 7:32 PM R8 7:49 PM R9 8:11 PM R10 8:31 PM R11 8:50 PM R12 9:11 PM

Race 8

7:49 PM

400m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st FEDERAL PLAYER ⭐ Best Bet

2nd LARNIE'S MAGIC

3rd DIVA'S DELIGHT

4th SUDDEN SURPRISE

✅ Place bet — won outright — FEDERAL PLAYER finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

FEDERAL PLAYER P $1.02

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.

ZIPPING DELORIS P $1.28

Saver · place

Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
2. FEDERAL PLAYER FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.36	$1.02	$2.06
6. ZIPPING DELORIS	6	$5.00	$1.28	$6.70
8. LARNIE'S MAGIC	8	$8.50	$1.60	$8.01
3. MOLLY ON FIRE	3	$16.00	$2.30	$12.38
7. PRINCE VINNIE	7	$26.00	$3.10	$20.79
4. MARG'S VOGUE	4	$41.00	$3.90	$23.90
1. SUDDEN SURPRISE	1	$31.00	$3.40	$24.28
5. DIVA'S DELIGHT	5	$61.00	$4.60	$36.08

Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.36) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50 this race	72%	93%	104
1.50–1.99	56%	86%	233
2.00–2.49	39%	68%	207
2.50–3.49	29%	64%	275
3.50–4.99	28%	60%	47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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