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THE GARDENS

R1 1:49 PM R2 2:09 PM R3 2:37 PM R4 2:57 PM R5 3:17 PM R6 3:37 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:19 PM R9 4:39 PM R10 5:21 PM R11 5:36 PM R12 5:51 PM

Race 3

2:37 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st CHLOE'S COMET
2nd STOCK'S GIFT
3rd MY LADY ASH
4th HARD HEAD RED ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — HARD HEAD RED didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
HARD HEAD RED P $1.08
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
MASERATI AVENUE P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. HARD HEAD RED FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.60 $1.08 $2.71
4. MASERATI AVENUE 4 $5.00 $1.30 $5.42
5. CHLOE'S COMET 5 $5.50 $1.36 $5.76
3. STOCK'S GIFT 3 $9.00 $1.90 $8.19
6. MY LADY ASH 6 $23.00 $3.30 $18.56
2. TEAPOT SCANDAL 2 $31.00 $3.70 $21.75
7. LILLY MOIRA 7 $71.00 $5.50 $38.16
8. GARIN 8 $61.00 $5.25 $41.97
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 82
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 84% 174
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 228
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.